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Total Record
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January 2026
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Play Writeups

Deep dives into my betting picks with full analysis and reasoning.

5-0 Record
+9.8U Unit Profit
100% Win Rate
⏳ Pending

Miami-Ohio/San Diego St MLP (+104)

Miami-Ohio has a 25-0 overall record and an away record of 10-0. They've successfully covered the spread in their last 8/10 away games. I've been backing the Redhawks basically all season, against tougher opponents than UMass, and they've came through with the win every single time so far. UMass has a 5-9 home spread record so far this season. They kept it somewhat close visiting Miami-Ohio but I personally believe they got lucky and played well. I just genuinely don't think that's going to happen again, the Redhawks want revenge. San Diego State is a very tough team to beat at home, and with their win against Nevada over the weekend, they have an 18-6 overall record and a 12-2 record at home. Grand Canyon beat SDSU at their home court and this is going to be just another revenge game. Recently, after losing to UNLV and New Mexico they were forced out of contention for a top seed in the Mountain West Tournament.

✅ Win

Daniil Medvedev/Jiri Lehecka MLP (-122)

Lehecka looked healthy while practicing with Jannik Sinner on Saturday. Had a rough start to 2026 due to not being 100% healthy. I've always seen him as a trustworthy player, as I do look to bet on him when he plays. Medvedev has regained most of his form in recent weeks. First round playing Shang, he has been on and off and hasn't beaten anyone close to as talented as Medvedev, and hasn't really impressed me too much. Daniil is 8-2 in 2026 against quality players who're at a level higher than the Chinese man.

✅ Win

6PT Teaser BAMA -4.5/UCF -2.5 (-122)

First part of the 6PT Teaser I took Alabama Crimson Tide -4.5 against the Missouri Tigers. MIZZ holds a 2-3 away record while BAMA is 6-3. This should be a decent game, but personally, I see Alabama winning by double digits. Missouri has lost both of their away games when their line was +1.5. Arizona State has an away record of 1-4. Central Florida is somewhat of a powerhouse at home. UCF has a record of 10-2 at home and a 10-0 record as the betting favorite. Think there will be a decent amount of points scored in this game, bringing the total a bit high, but just enough for UCF to get a comfortable lead. I've always liked a -2.5 line and with the teaser, we are given just that. They recently played the #1 team in the country, Arizona Wildcats. They were able to maintain only a 7-point difference; ASU isn't even remotely close to that level. Let's Cash Another Gang!

✅ Win

Carlos Alcaraz/Alexander Zverev MLP (-132)

Personally I'm taking Alcaraz over De Minaur almost every single time. De Minaur may be playing on his home turf but that's nothing new for Alcaraz to play in enemy territory. Alcaraz does everything ADM does but better and is more consistent. Their head-to-head matchups are in favor of Carlos Alcaraz, winning all five matches and only dropping a total of 2 sets in total of all the matches. Alex de Minaur had a somewhat easy path at the AO this year, he faced Frances Tiafoe, Hamad Medjedovic and Alexander Bublik. All three of those players are personally untrustworthy in my point of view. Alcaraz hasn't dropped a set this tournament and could see him taking advantage of De Minaur 3-0 or 3-1. Alexander Zverev is absolutely due for a win like this over the in-form Learner Tien. Yesterday Tien knocked out Medvedev in straights. His most recent match against Zverev was in the middle of last year, but on clay. Zverev beat Tien 3-0 without getting broken once the entire match. Zverev has something to prove to all of us, and if he could successfully take out Tien that would definitely gain a lot of people's respect and give him the motivation and drive to continue to perform at his best. It's going to be very hot today in Melbourne, above 100 degrees and it's going to be interesting to see how each player manages and deals with the heat. Let's make it our FIFTH straight max winner! 🤍

✅ Win

Jannik Sinner ML/Musetti Over 3.5 Sets (-145)

Ben Shelton to trouble Jannik Sinner enough to come out with the win? Not unless the sun reflects off Sinners orange hair and burns him to death. They've faced each other 8 times in the past two years. Sinner owns their head-to-head with a 8-0 record. Within those matches, Shelton hasn't been able to take even one set off the young Italian. Shelton's big serve isn't going to be enough to take down Sinner. The other day Sinner dropped a set to world #86, Eliott Spizzirri. Jannik Sinner had issues with cramping due to heat and well prepared himself for his match against Luciano Darderi who he beat in straight sets. Now for Lorenzo Musetti on the other hand, I see him giving old Novak loads of trouble. Both players should take a set, pushing this to go over the 3.5 total sets. If Novak Djokovic isn't playing close to his current best ability, the in-form Musetti could take over and maybe even win the match. Musetti was a underdog against the American Taylor Fritz and beat him with absolute ease. This should be a longer and more competitive matchup for Musetti.

✅ Win

Machac ML/Sinner -2.5 Sets (-112)

I'm on Machac over Tsitsipas for a few reasons. Tsitsipas has not been locked in for awhile. Half of last year he was playing his worst tennis and recently losing in straights to Vukic at (-435) favorite. Machac has finally found his form and is 4-0 in his L4 against top 50 opponents. Decided to pair with Sinner 3-0 simply because I cannot picture him dropping a set this early in the tournament. Hopefully I don't eat those words. He's in solid form and hasn't dropped a set to anyone besides Alcaraz in his L11 straight matches. Let's Cash this Shit.

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